Saturday, October 22, 2022

Business valuation using correct formulas using dubious data

Every generation needs a revolution - an entrepreneurial revolution



This post was shown a due diligence report but reporting a valuation of only 6 number for a business
coughing out P4 - 5 million a year

Some errors were observed in the work purportedly a certified public accountant.  It was neither a due diligence nor a proper valuation report

1.  In the asset portion, the cash of the business totaling P8 m was totally disregarded?  What?  You are valuing the asset of the business and not considering if the cash will be dissipated or not

2  The consultant arrived at a Weighted Average Cost of Capital which was achieved only on the 5th year  And conveniently used this as WACC (ergo for the discounted cash flow the intrinsic method, a high 55% WAC would result in lower valuation

3.  In the intrinsic portion (NPV) analysis, there was no current year cash flow (and in actuality, the current net  cash flow amounts to P4.5 million

    1  In the projected cash flow for the next five years, 2023 cash flow is only P9,k
    2.  The WAC again of 55% erroneously computed is used as the discount factor.  The high %
         results in a very low valuation

PSE lists WACC at only 6.84 % and the 55% /5 is only 11%

Not every body understands business valuation    At entrepreneurship we teach  this skill

New business inquiries -3 even while staying at home.

Every generation needs a revolution - an entrepreneurial revolution




Even while staying at home, no active business development assistant (which could cost anywhere from P20 to P40K a month)  three business opportunities in the area of memorialization  came my way 

1   A 1.4 hectare property which can become an all in business center for memorialization in Calabarzon
     Population of area is 290K  Open for joint venture    This is near the church only about 300 meters              away

2  Another 1.8 hectare project in a major city in Calabarzon with 290K population likewise..  It does not
    have our product yet  It is only 3.1 km from the Cathedral

3,  A 8 hectare project along the highway in Region 1 which could be had in a joint venture.  It serves 8 towns of a most populous vote rich province.   This would make our business number 3 in this province.  
This is 3.1 km away from the Cathedral.   

Every new business need a business plan and a disciplined analysis

Every generation needs a revolution - an entrepreneurial revolution




It is a mistake that only passion desire will make you rich  In the absence of science and math, you can not hope to be rich   You can only expect red ink and hearth ache. 

An acquaintance went into a partnership with another acquaintance who was merely armed with enthusiasm and excitement.  

After investing about a hundred thou invested mostly in site deposit and advance, they have nothing to show except more advances and red ink  After asking if there was a bp or break even analysis it was suggested for them to find out how much as to whether the sales performance breaks even or not   It does not  

Thus it was suggested that:
1.  Gimmicks will be made to raise awareness and sales response (as unli rice or uni sabaw)
2   Lowering further the price of best seller  (not increasing as kneejerk response to red ink results
3.  Expanding menu to have high end product with high gp to make up for number 2

Many start ups make the same mistake   Thus a new product is not a guarantee for success especially if there is nothing unique or compelling about this