Friday, January 20, 2023

Credit Suisse Bank crisis - how it is going to affect the world finances.

Every generation needs a revolution - an entrepreneurial revolution

A venerable Swiss bank is facing trouble   Possible collapse -  big loss and possible illiquidity

The video explains the challenge




Doomsayer - world wide recession in 2023

Every generation needs a revolution - an entrepreneurial revolution

Many experts:   Robert Kiyosaki, banks (BoA) World Bank  many YT videos predict of impending world wide recession due to China problem with Covid, world wide inflation due to US Fed increase of interest
rates, impending illiquidity of big banks (due  to countries saddled with huge deficits and debt to to GDP ratio which incudes Japan and USA (over 100% - Phil at  60+ still looks healthy

We still do not know for sure how true these predictions are (but even Feng Shui experts seem to affirm that 2023 is going to be bad.)

But we must be resilient and dig in defensively:    hold on to commodities - gold and silver and  real estate.   Currency may be worthless   We can end up like Nigeria or Venenzuela  (In Venenzuela, a Big Mac cost millions)




Friday, January 6, 2023

More business opportunities at the beginning of 2023 - forecasted to be bad year of the Rabbit

Every generation needs a revolution - an entrepreneurial revolution

Just had a conversation the other day with a business friend, a bank executive regarding her query of the possibility of investing in a memorial park in the capital of island province.   There are no more inventories, and the land she presented to be a possible site 3 years ago at P400/00 sm is now a city
cemetery.

What are the things that favor such a project:
1.  The only memorial park in the city is sold out.
2.   The selling price is  P115k/plot - but there are no inventories
3.   The population of city is 307 k.
4.   The city is first class with annual revenue of P3.8 billion

Memorial opportunities:

    1.  Death rate at 0.5% = 15,000 (we can sell in one year)
    2.  Household  300,000/5 =  60,000
    3.  Class A and B buyers =  10% =  30,000.

We can have buyers in excess of inventories.  We can cover by having say 20,000 columbarium 

Possible sites:

1.  5.2 hectare going up north at P1,200/sm  (about 60m cash)
2.  JV with religious for a columbarium

For the 5.2 hectare, the yield would be about 12,500 plots that can be sold for P80k per plot or 1B

What to do:

1.  Talk to the religious for combi project of  MP and columbarium/crematorium
2.  Agree to P1,200  stagger payment, secure pre sales commitment to pay the balance.